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What what's your assessment of the
What what's your assessment of the
balance of forces now there?
balance of forces now there
>> Well, there's no doubt about it. The
>> Well there's no doubt about it The
Ukrainians are struggling. Um the
Ukrainians are struggling Um the
Russians are piling in men uh irrespective
Russians are piling in men uh irrespective
of their losses and this is always one
of their losses and this is always one
of the terrifying things about Russia.
of the terrifying things about Russia
You know, they treat their own soldiers
You know they treat their own soldiers
as badly as they treat their enemy
as badly as they treat their enemy
almost. And um the casualty rate uh is
almost And um the casualty rate uh is
is horrific, but they can still go on
is horrific but they can still go on
doing it. The Ukrainians are running out
doing it The Ukrainians are running out
of people there. There's no doubt about
of people there There's no doubt about
it.
it
>> How long do you think they can hold out?
>> How long do you think they can hold out
>> Well, most people are only talking about
>> Well most people are only talking about
to the spring. Um, I would certainly
to the spring Um I would certainly
hope it'd be longer because what we are
hope it'd be longer because what we are
certainly seeing is that Putin has no
certainly seeing is that Putin has no
intention whatsoever of really making
intention whatsoever of really making
peace. And we are in an extraordinary
peace And we are in an extraordinary
position here. We are seeing peace
position here We are seeing peace
negotiations not carried out by
negotiations not carried out by
diplomats or statesmen, but being
diplomats or statesmen but being
carried out by businessmen. Kir,
carried out by businessmen Kir
>> this is
>> this is
>> Mr. Mr. Putin's envoy Witkoff
>> Mr Mr Putin's envoy Witkoff
>> and Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. Um,
>> and Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner Um
and I mean what are they doing? Are they
and I mean what are they doing Are they
dividing up the spoils of war or of
dividing up the spoils of war or of
basically thug diplomacy? Um, it's not a
basically thug diplomacy Um it's not a
question of looking for a just peace at
question of looking for a just peace at
all. So from that point of view, one
all So from that point of view one
sees the terrible fate of Ukraine as
sees the terrible fate of Ukraine as
almost having to fight on even when it
almost having to fight on even when it
knows it may be losing. So they know
knows it may be losing So they know
what a Russian occupation consists of
what a Russian occupation consists of
and the sheer cruelty and horror uh of
and the sheer cruelty and horror uh of
what's happened in the areas which have
what's happened in the areas which have
been taken. Your um books about
been taken Your um books about
Stalingrad and your more recent one
Stalingrad and your more recent one
about Russia um paint in vivid terms the
about Russia um paint in vivid terms the
awfulness of the slaughter uh in in war.
awfulness of the slaughter uh in in war
And I I was thinking um as we were
And I I was thinking um as we were
thinking about this this interview uh of
thinking about this this interview uh of
the description that you have in Russia
the description that you have in Russia
in a book in the 2023 book Russia of
in a book in the 2023 book Russia of
the way that um people were lifted on
the way that um people were lifted on
bayonet. How does that what's going on
bayonet How does that what's going on
now compare with that uh example from
now compare with that uh example from
the first world war? Well, this was much
the first world war Well this was much
more the Russian civil war, in fact,
more the Russian civil war in fact
where um the ferocity, the savagery was
where um the ferocity the savagery was
definitely conspicuous cruelty. I mean,
definitely conspicuous cruelty I mean
it was sadism in many ways. People were
it was sadism in many ways People were
being tortured not for to extract
being tortured not for to extract
information, but just purely out of
information but just purely out of
anger, bitterness, whatever it may be.
anger bitterness whatever it may be
And a lot of this comes off, comes over
And a lot of this comes off comes over
from the way, as I was saying, that the
from the way as I was saying that the
Russians treat their own people so
Russians treat their own people so
badly. It becomes the knock-on theory of
badly It becomes the knock-on theory of
oppression. Because their boys are so
oppression Because their boys are so
badly treated, they will then take it
badly treated they will then take it
out on the most vulnerable. And we saw
out on the most vulnerable And we saw
this in 1945 with the mass rapes carried
this in 1945 with the mass rapes carried
out by the Red Army. Um, and you know,
out by the Red Army Um and you know
there are great debates amongst
there are great debates amongst
historians, how far does it go back?
historians how far does it go back
Does it go back to the 13th century and
Does it go back to the 13th century and
all the rest of it? But there's no doubt
all the rest of it But there's no doubt
about it. I mean, Russia does have a
about it I mean Russia does have a
different attitude to warfare and
different attitude to warfare and
believes in conspicuous cruelty as a
believes in conspicuous cruelty as a
weapon of war. Uh it's it's worth saying
weapon of war Uh it's it's worth saying
by the way that you were banned in in
by the way that you were banned in in
Russia for making exactly this point.
Russia for making exactly this point
Are you still banned there?
Are you still banned there
>> Uh, well I'm liable to five years in
>> Uh well I'm liable to five years in
prison. Put it that way. Um Sergey Shoygu
prison Put it that way Um Sergey Shoygu
brought in this law saying anybody who
brought in this law saying anybody who
insulted the Red Army in the Second
insulted the Red Army in the Second
World War was liable to 5 years in, but
World War was liable to 5 years in but
you know one has no idea.
you know one has no idea
>> You, you, you've mentioned the, uh
>> You you you've mentioned the uh
negotiations that's been taking
negotiations that's been taking
place between the Americans and the
place between the Americans and the
Russians. What do you think the White
Russians What do you think the White
House is doing? Are they playing a smart
House is doing Are they playing a smart
game or are they being played by Putin?
game or are they being played by Putin
>> They're being totally played. I mean,
>> They're being totally played I mean
Putin despises Trump. Um, I mean, as far
Putin despises Trump Um I mean as far
as he's concerned, he's his useful
as he's concerned he's his useful
idiot. It's just like Lenin's, um
idiot It's just like Lenin's um
version. And, um, we know this, for
version And um we know this for
example, from the Osaka conference in
example from the Osaka conference in
Um, when Putin was starting to
Um when Putin was starting to
tease Trump, um, he said to him, "Oh, um
tease Trump um he said to him Oh um
Mr. Trump, uh, um, I've done much more for
Mr Trump uh um I've done much more for
Israel than people realize." And Trump
Israel than people realize And Trump
slammed the table and said, "Nobody's
slammed the table and said Nobody's
done as much for Israel as I have." And
done as much for Israel as I have And
Putin said, "Oh, President Trump,
Putin said Oh President Trump
perhaps they should rename their country
perhaps they should rename their country
after you." Uh, and Putin, um, sorry,
after you Uh and Putin um sorry
Trump, um, looked at him in astonishment
Trump um looked at him in astonishment
for a moment and then said, "No, I think
for a moment and then said No I think
that would be going a bit too far."
that would be going a bit too far
Well, that was all recorded by Fiona
Well that was all recorded by Fiona
Hill, who was sitting in on the
Hill who was sitting in on the
conversation.
conversation
>> Wow. Um, if the Americans for one
>> Wow Um if the Americans for one
whatever reason decided essentially to
whatever reason decided essentially to
walk away or not to provide the kind of
walk away or not to provide the kind of
support that they have done, uh, thus far.
support that they have done uh thus far
Do you think the Europeans could
Do you think the Europeans could
effectively fill that void?
effectively fill that void
>> Uh, with difficulty, uh, it depends to what
>> Uh with difficulty uh it depends to what
degree Trump is still prepared to sell
degree Trump is still prepared to sell
weapons. I mean, the American and, uh, arms
weapons I mean the American and uh arms
industry, uh, is so important and the
industry uh is so important and the
Europeans are not quite in a position to
Europeans are not quite in a position to
catch up rapidly. We're in the worst
catch up rapidly We're in the worst
position of all. I mean, we have no
position of all I mean we have no
ammunition or virtually no ammunition. I
ammunition or virtually no ammunition I
mean the British army, uh, couldn't last
mean the British army uh couldn't last
more than, um, sort of 10 days before
more than um sort of 10 days before
running out of, uh, ammunition in a
running out of uh ammunition in a
conflict.
conflict
>> Seriously.
>> Seriously
>> Yes. Seriously. I mean, we, uh, the the
>> Yes Seriously I mean we uh the the
first duty of a government is to provide
first duty of a government is to provide
the defense of the country. It is their
the defense of the country It is their
very first priority. But I mean, what
very first priority But I mean what
what do we see? I mean, even in this
what do we see I mean even in this
latest budget, uh, you know, money can be
latest budget uh you know money can be
found from somewhere, uh, to pour into the
found from somewhere uh to pour into the
bottomless pit of welfare dependency.
bottomless pit of welfare dependency
But I mean, there isn't, there isn't still
But I mean there isn't there isn't still
the money yet to replace the ammunition
the money yet to replace the ammunition
and weapons which have been given to
and weapons which have been given to
Ukraine.
Ukraine
Um, if I may come back finally, uh, to
Um if I may come back finally uh to
Ukraine, Anthony, um, what realistically
Ukraine Anthony um what realistically
do you think the best outcome that we
do you think the best outcome that we
can hope for?
can hope for
Well, the best outcome we could hope for
Well the best outcome we could hope for
is, um, basically, uh,
is um basically uh
enough pressure being put on Russia
enough pressure being put on Russia
economically and especially whether it's
economically and especially whether it's
a conversation of sovereign wealth funds
a conversation of sovereign wealth funds
and things like that in Europe which I'm
and things like that in Europe which I'm
afraid, um, certainly the Belgians are
afraid um certainly the Belgians are
frightened about, um, to a very large
frightened about um to a very large
degree. Um, but the only way is somehow
degree Um but the only way is somehow
to hold back Putin's war machine. But I
to hold back Putin's war machine But I
mean, the trouble is that his whole, uh,
mean the trouble is that his whole uh
economy is geared up to a war economy.
economy is geared up to a war economy
Um, and as history has shown, you know,
Um and as history has shown you know
once you've geared up your economy to
once you've geared up your economy to
that degree, uh, it's very hard to wind it
that degree uh it's very hard to wind it
back. So what will he go for next? I
back So what will he go for next I
mean, you know, I was in Norway, uh, and
mean you know I was in Norway uh and
they are extremely frightened about the
they are extremely frightened about the
or seemingly concerned about what's
or seemingly concerned about what's
happening in the Baltic states or liable
happening in the Baltic states or liable
to happen there. Uh, what about Moldova?
to happen there Uh what about Moldova
I mean, after Ukraine, where does Putin
I mean after Ukraine where does Putin
go next?
go next
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